Recently, India's urea bid was opened again. On the evening of June 15, India's RCF company held a bid again. The bid closing date was June 24, and the bid was valid until July 2. The shipping date was August 11. Recently, the international price began to rise. It is reported that the intended FOB price of some urea traders rose to US $450 (ton price, the same below), and the shipping date of more than 50 days also showed the awakening of India's urea procurement, In addition, due to the impact of international trade inflation, it is expected that the bid price in India will not be low. However, since the start of the bid, the overall price of domestic urea has been relatively weak, and the overall price has been stable. The ex factory price of individual plants has dropped by 80 yuan during the weekend. The mainstream ex factory price of urea in Shandong is 2630-2640 yuan, and the receiving price of urea by compound fertilizer enterprises in Linyi is 2650 yuan, The mainstream ex factory price of urea in Hebei is 2640-2680 yuan, the mainstream ex factory price of urea in Henan is 2570-2590 yuan, the mainstream ex factory price of urea in Shanxi is 2550-2570 yuan, and the big granule is 2550-2570 yuan. So why does the domestic urea price still fall under the support of Indian urea bidding demand? The main contents are as follows

On the one hand, domestic demand is decreasing and the price is on the high side. Since the Dragon Boat Festival, the market demand of domestic fertilizer industry in summer has basically come to an end. In the face of such a high level of raw material urea, the lower reaches keep a certain degree of caution. Different from the treatment of phosphorus and potassium fertilizer, ammonium phosphate has been exported vigorously in recent years, and there are relatively few domestic sales sources. Enterprises are unwilling to sell too much to China at low prices, and potassium fertilizer is a scarce source of goods at this stage, mainly imported, The market supply pressure is small, and the urea production capacity and output base are relatively large. In the face of such high-end price, it is not too wise to purchase rashly and hold it for a long time; At the present stage, only the northeast and northwest have relatively more fertilizer use, and the purchase peak in Xinjiang has passed, the transaction of new high price orders is relatively slow, the profit of traders is slightly lower than the previous sales, and the price also has a certain downward trend. Although the Northeast market began to reduce prices early in the early stage, and the performance of new orders is acceptable, but the recent foreign sources (such as Mengxi If the price of local factories remains high, the local market may be impacted to a certain extent.

On the other hand, temporary high-level operation was started. Although some urea enterprises have recently entered the overhaul due to plant problems, the duration is not too long, and there are still some new products coming out of the newly added plants of some large plants. According to statistics, the daily output of domestic urea remains above 160000 tons. Even if melamine is fully opened, the overall supply can still remain above 150000 tons. However, the domestic export market continues to purchase in spite of Indian bidding, However, for the current domestic volume, it is still impossible to fully support the domestic price. The recent price rise of urea has attracted the attention of relevant departments, and the domestic price rise has been restrained to a certain extent.

To sum up, the urea market as a whole has shown a narrow fluctuation in recent years, and there are many signs of decline. However, after all, the bidding in India is fierce, and the overall decline of some enterprises with export conditions during the bidding period in India should be relatively limited, while the price in other regions should show some signs of decline; However, we still need to pay attention to the policies issued by relevant domestic departments.