Recently, the price of urea has increased slightly due to the reduction of local operation and the expectation of printing standards. Firstly, the decrease of operation is due to the maintenance of a few urea enterprises. Secondly, with the expansion and increase of environmental protection inspection, some urea enterprises have reduced production load or stopped production. The unexpected favorable support has reduced the supply of urea goods in the market, In addition, the Indian standard has not been released yet, and some manufacturers are actively collecting in Hong Kong. The supply of local goods in China is relatively tight, pushing up prices is like a fish in water; On the contrary, ammonium chloride has light demand and poor transaction of new orders. Even if the price of ammonium chloride enterprises retreats again and again, it can not change the current weak market. For urea, it can only "envy the fish".

At present, the domestic ammonium chloride market is depressed, and the follow-up of new orders is poor. Large and medium-sized traders have no reserve plan. The market is dominated by scattered small orders, and the compound fertilizer plants are used and collected at the same time; The overall wait-and-see mood in the downstream is very strong, and the quotations of some enterprises are frequently reduced. At the same time, some enterprises still stop quotation in the short term, and the transaction is a single discussion; Of course, the outgoing prices of all factories are low, and some enterprises try to issue winter storage quotations, but the downstream is not willing to prepare fertilizer in advance, and the price has not reached the psychological expected price of winter storage. At present, the mainstream factory quotation of dry ammonium in Central China is about 1000-1050 yuan / ton, the factory quotation of some outward dry ammonium in Northeast and East China is about 950-1000 yuan / ton, the factory quotation of some outward dry ammonium in southwest region is only about 950 yuan / ton, and the factory quotation of local wet ammonium has also been reduced to about 850 yuan / ton. However, there are few transactions, and the factory has great pressure to support the price.

First of all, the operation of Lianhe alkali enterprises is at a high level. According to the statistics of China chemical fertilizer network, up to now, the overall industrial operation rate of Lianhe alkali enterprises is about 71.9%, and the total daily output is about 35600 tons. Except for a few ammonium chloride enterprises in Central China and East China, most of the other enterprises are under high load. In addition, an overhauled ammonium chloride enterprise in Jiangsu has produced products, and an overhauled ammonium chloride enterprise in Tianjin also plans to resume ignition in the near future, with an increasing trend of supply in the market; At the end of the month, only a few ammonium chloride enterprises in Shaanxi and Anhui have maintenance plans, and the high price of soda ash rises slowly, so the focus of the enterprise is placed here. Therefore, under normal circumstances, the operation of soda enterprises will remain in a high load state.

Secondly, the demand for ammonium chloride is light, and the light storage has not been started. On the one hand, it is in the off-season of agricultural demand. The finished fertilizer under the high price raw material fertilizer in the early stage of compound fertilizer enterprises is under pressure, the price is reduced, and the production enthusiasm is not high. The operating rate of the whole industry is only 39%, and the procurement volume of raw ammonium chloride is too small, and only an appropriate amount is purchased when it is just needed; On the other hand, the operating rate of extruded granular ammonium chloride enterprises is also low, and the ammonium chloride is collected with use. On the whole, the downstream demand for ammonium chloride is lack of centralized delivery, and the overall wait-and-see atmosphere is strong. Compared with the same period in previous years, the price of ammonium chloride is too high and the market conflict is strong; Moreover, the light storage has not been started, especially the winter storage in the Northeast market. The risk of taking some ammonium at the ex factory price level of about 950-1000 yuan / ton is too high. In the situation of confrontation between the upstream and downstream markets, the price will inevitably give way, so that the downstream can have the willingness to prepare fertilizer.

Thirdly, the price rise of urea is the only positive support for ammonium chloride. Under the influence of environmental protection inspection, the overall industrial start-up of urea enterprises has been reduced. In addition, the supply of raw coal and natural gas is tight, the price is high, and the enterprise cost support is sufficient; However, the current industrial and agricultural demand for urea is off-season, and the goods are scattered. However, if the Indian standard is announced recently, its price may be slightly higher. This is the support for ammonium chloride. It does not rule out that some fertilizer enterprises may appropriately purchase more ammonium chloride instead of some urea.

Finally, on the whole, the supply pressure of ammonium chloride is large, but the demand is light. The scattered pick-up with use and pick-up lacks support for the price. In particular, since the price has risen by more than 1000 yuan, the resistance in the downstream has increased, and the price has fallen rationally. It is expected that under the situation of imbalance between supply and demand in the short term, it is difficult for the market of ammonium chloride to have the luck of urea, There is appropriate room for prices to fall.