The urea market fluctuates with each other. Most of them are weak and small, and some of them are on the rise. Manufacturers are mostly bearish about the future trend of urea. Even so, it seems that there is no expectation of a big decline. However, if there is a bit of trouble, the wind direction of the urea market changes suddenly, and the price of urea in the main production areas has fallen slightly recently. For example, the mainstream ex factory price of urea in Shanxi is about 3130 yuan / ton, and the price of urea in Jiangsu and Anhui is weak and stable after the decline, The factory price of urea mainstream in Anhui is about 3250-3330 yuan / ton. The reason for no obvious decline may be the high international fertilizer price, the boost of Urea Export, the low urea inventory in the domestic market, the rigid demand in the downstream, and the background environment of high commodity prices.

With the increase of resistance in the downstream market and the cooling of domestic demand, urea enterprises' transactions slowed down. After reducing prices and attracting orders, enterprises were eager to explore a small rise. Therefore, the voice of urea market price adjustment was bustling. From the perspective of supply, the daily output of urea enterprises is still as high as about 164000 tons. In early June, the pipe fertilizer is to be released in the summer. Except that some urea enterprises have maintenance plans in the later period, most of them start work normally. However, the price of liquid ammonia is rebounding, and the mainstream quotation in the market is about 4500-5500 yuan / ton. The production focus of enterprises can be slightly adjusted from urea to liquid ammonia, so as to support the supply of urea; In terms of demand, the agricultural demand in the domestic market has become weak, and the industrial compound fertilizer enterprises are under great cost pressure, the sales progress is relatively slow, the enterprises' start-up is relatively low, and the purchase of urea is carried out on demand, as is the case with the plywood factory. The overall rigid demand is limited; However, the recent hot topic is the export of urea, or other forms of export, which has boosted the domestic market. It is not ruled out that there may be speculation. However, the current bad market is the policy regulation of urea, the release of summer tube fertilizer, the arrival of the off-season and the resistance of the downstream market. Therefore, urea shows a weak trend.

The small nitrogenous fertilizer ammonium chloride market continues to operate well. From the perspective of production enterprises, local quotations have risen appropriately, and the downstream acceptance is acceptable. Enterprises have sufficient orders to be issued, so it is still necessary to control the receipt of orders in the short term. At present, the factory price of domestic mainstream dry ammonium is about 1530-1700 yuan / ton, and the arrival price of mainstream dry ammonium in Yunnan Guizhou region is about 1800 yuan / ton. From the perspective of market sales, it is inevitable that some traders' sales prices are too high, so it is necessary to consider the downstream procurement progress and the degree of resistance to high prices with the advent of the off-season.

On the one hand, although the overall start-up of ammonium chloride enterprises is not low, up to 78.8%, and the total daily output is about 38000 tons, some large factories are under started, resulting in a shortage of local goods. Moreover, in June and July, a few large ammonium chloride factories will carry out annual maintenance, which will take about 10-20 days. Then the next pricing and order receiving will be more cautious and relatively controlled. The cash shortage will continue for a period of time, and there may be a situation that the off-season is not light; On the other hand, it is difficult for the high price of urea to fall back significantly. Compared with ammonium chloride, some compound fertilizer plants and traders are more active in purchasing ammonium chloride, which has recently replaced some urea; Moreover, the demand for extruded granular ammonium chloride has increased compared with previous years, and the current construction is acceptable; In addition, since October 15 last year, after the export of ammonium chloride was subject to legal inspection, its overall export volume has decreased sharply. However, the current high international fertilizer price has attracted the export enthusiasm of some domestic traders, and the export volume of ammonium chloride has increased slightly.

However, there are also negative factors in the ammonium chloride market. From the perspective of season, the demand gradually enters the off-season. The demand for new orders of ammonium chloride objectively shows a decreasing trend, and most circulation orders are mainly in the early stage; In addition, the cost pressure of compound fertilizer enterprises is great. Although ammonium chloride has been "respected" since this year, it is also due to the low price. At present, the price of ammonium chloride is rising to a high level, which has affected the purchasing enthusiasm of compound fertilizer enterprises for ammonium chloride.

In general, the urea price fluctuates slightly at a high level in the short term, which has a limited impact on ammonium chloride. However, the supply of ammonium chloride itself is tight and the demand is considerable. Some low-end quotations may chase up slightly, and the overall high level tends to be stable.