The price of urea has been adjusted repeatedly, but it has always remained at a high level until it is still in a stalemate. Recently, due to the rise in the price of raw coal and the impact of the production restriction and stoppage of urea enterprises in Jincheng, Shanxi, the supply has decreased significantly, and the quotation of some urea plants has been adjusted accordingly. From the perspective of the distribution market and the grass-roots level, the delivery progress of urea is relatively general, the price is just rising, and the resistance is still great, As for the tireless price adjustment rhythm of urea, the market of ammonium chloride is relatively stable. Since the overall increase of 30-50 yuan/ton, most of them have remained stable. In addition, the recent turnover of new orders of enterprises is relatively light. Some high-end quotations have been adjusted back to the starting price due to the impact of low price goods, and the trend of improvement is also fleeting.

Recently, urea prices have been adjusted frequently, but most of the above increases have remained stable in some parts. On the one hand, some urea enterprises in Jincheng were forced to stop production due to high raw coal prices and environmental control and other factors, reducing the overall daily supply by more than 10000 tons. On the other hand, some urea enterprises have sufficient orders to be issued. Therefore, even if the price is raised, it is understandable, but the actual reference significance is limited. However, the next rise and fall of urea price depends not only on supply, but also on demand, cost and other factors.

First of all, the commencement of some urea enterprises will inevitably remain at a relatively low level during the 11th National Day and a conference in mid October. A urea plant in Yunnan also has an annual maintenance plan, so the daily output of urea will basically remain around 150000 tons; The transportation of dangerous chemicals such as liquid ammonia is limited, so local prices are somewhat loose. However, under the support of costs and with the recovery of downstream construction after the National Day holiday, the price of liquid ammonia will remain high and volatile. Therefore, from the perspective of production center, it has a certain degree of support for urea; Secondly, the coal price remains high, and there is still a small increase, so the cost pressure of urea enterprises is relatively large; Again, from the perspective of demand, the demand for agriculture in the domestic market is limited, the urea price remains high, and the risk is high. Large traders and grass root agricultural material merchants mainly pick up goods on demand, especially grass root farmers have a high resistance to high price urea; The stock of finished fertilizer to be digested in the industrial compound fertilizer plant is relatively high, so its production enthusiasm is low, and the purchase of raw fertilizer is mainly based on demand; Although the price of urea in the international market is much higher than the domestic price, after all, China's urea export is limited and the export volume is not large, which generally supports the domestic market. From this point of view, the supply of urea enterprises is mainly to be launched recently, and the price continues to be high.

Under the influence of high price urea, the price of ammonium chloride has a reason to remain firm; However, in addition, the supply and demand of ammonium chloride itself is the key. From the perspective of supply alone, the ammonium chloride enterprises in central and eastern China for short-term maintenance have resumed production, and the output is increasing. The overall industry of soda ash enterprises has started about 75%, with a daily output of about 35000 tons. The output will continue to increase by about 7000 tons from tomorrow, and there is still some early inventory to be digested in the market, so it is difficult to see the ammonium chloride rise again; From the perspective of demand, the start-up of compound fertilizer enterprises has dropped to 40%, and the enthusiasm for production is not high. Although they are resistant to the high price urea, the low start-up leads to the limited procurement of ammonium chloride. Large and medium-sized traders are cautious about the procurement of ammonium chloride, and only take the goods as needed; The winter storage of the highly concerned Northeast market has not been started yet, and the market sentiment is not high. At present, the goods are scattered; Finally, in terms of exports, the export volume of ammonium chloride for fertilizer is relatively small. In recent months, the total monthly export volume is only about 20000 to 30000 tons. The export volume of nitrogen phosphorus binary fertilizer is sometimes high and sometimes low. After all, the support for ammonium chloride is limited.

To sum up, the nitrogen fertilizer market has been running in a volatile way. Among them, the urea price is on the high side. Under the hindrance and expectation of negative factors, the early price increase of ammonium chloride will inevitably be fleeting, but it is also supported by positive factors, so it is mainly stable, with occasional small movements in some parts.